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Analysis: Best Elections for GOP in 2017 Have Been in Connecticut

June 6, 2017 By Staff
Analysis: Best Elections for GOP in 2017 Have Been in Connecticut

Is Dan Malloy causing the tide to turn in Republicans' favor in 2017?

Back in March, Reclaim Connecticut wrote that the special elections in the state proved politics in Connecticut is about Gov. Dan Malloy (D-Conn.), not President Donald Trump.

An analysis in FiveThirtyEight proved as much on Monday:

Wide variation exists in these results, some of which can probably be explained by local factors. For instance, the GOP’s two best performances both came in Connecticut, whose Democratic governor is deeply unpopular; similarly, one of the Democrats’ best improvements came in Oklahoma, which has likewise soured on its Republican governor.

FiveThirtyEight had analyzed special election results since the election of Donald Trump, and found that the GOP’s best performances were in Connecticut.

538 analysis

It seems Malloy is such a liability in the state that even Trump can’t weigh Republican candidates down right now. Will the trend hold in 2018?