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Is Elizabeth Esty Connecticut’s Most Vulnerable Dem?

March 6, 2017 By Staff
Is Elizabeth Esty Connecticut’s Most Vulnerable Dem?

Rep. Elizabeth Esty (D-Conn.), in Connecticut’s moderate 5th Congressional District, is on both Republican and Democratic lists in D.C. that would suggest she’s vulnerable.

Is Rep. Elizabeth Esty (D-Conn.) in re-election trouble? On Monday, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) put Esty on its “Frontline Program,” for “its most vulnerable incumbents in 2018.”

This comes a month after the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), the DCCC’s GOP equivalent, put Esty on its “36-seat list of top Democratic targets” in 2018.

So, is Esty in trouble?

She did win re-election by a comfortable 16 points in 2016. Plus, there’s the historical evidence that the president’s party (this year, Republican) “suffers in the House in midterm elections.”

On the other hand, seven of Connecticut’s eight counties voted more Republican in 2016 than in 2012. Trump won Litchfield County, which houses most of the 5th Congressional District, by a 14-point margin in 2016.

And Esty is only five years removed from a razor-thin win over Andrew Roraback in her first race for the 5th District seat, in 2012.

Time will tell if “CT-05” becomes vulnerable, but D.C. says it’s a seat to watch.