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New Sacred Heart Poll Finds Lamont’s Lead, and Unpopularity, Growing

September 21, 2018 By Staff
New Sacred Heart Poll Finds Lamont’s Lead, and Unpopularity, Growing

Sacred Heart University's September poll finds that, a month after their first poll of the gubernatorial race, Ned Lamont's lead on Bob Stefanowski is expanding. He's also more unpopular than last month, though.

Sacred Heart University released its latest poll on the state of the Connecticut gubernatorial race Thursday, finding Democrat Ned Lamont is up on Republican Bob Stefanowski by 6.2 points.

Lamont picks up the support of 43.1 percent of likely voters, compared to 36.9 percent for Bob Stefanowski. Lamont’s share of support grew 2.3 percentage points from last month, while Stefanowski’s share of support stayed flat.

A few warning signs for Lamont, though:

  • His net favorability with voters went from +4.8 percentage points to -2.6 points, a 7.4-point swing against Lamont.
  • His “unfavorable” rating shot up nearly 10 percentage points from August to September. In August, 24.5 percent of likely voters had an unfavorable opinion of Lamont. In September, 34.3 percent of voters have an unfavorable opinion.

Stefanowski’s net favorability actually dipped more, but he has net-positive favorability ratings, unlike Lamont:

  • Stefanowski’s net favorability with voters went from +10.2 percentage points to +0.6 points, a 9.6-point swing against Stefanowski.
  • Stefanowski’s “unfavorable” rating shot up nearly 10 percentage points from August to September. In August, 20.1 percent of likely voters had an unfavorable opinion of Stefanowski. In September, 29.9 percent of voters have an unfavorable opinion.

Gov. Dan Malloy (D-Conn.) is still broadly unpopular. In September, 71.1 percent of voters disapprove of Malloy’s job performance. Last month, it was 69.6 percent of voters who disapproved.

As for the top issue facing the state, a majority of voters (59.2 percent) picked one of three issues:

  • The high overall tax burden (23.2 percent of likely voters picked this as “the most important issue” this November)
  • The state budget crisis (22.8 percent of likely voters picked this)
  • The high overall cost of living (13.2 percent of likely voters picked this)

At this rate, Sacred Heart may yet provide one more poll in the race. If they poll a month from now, they’ll offer a picture of the gubernatorial race with just a few weeks to go.